Following the Nigerian Meteorological Agency 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction (SCP) unveiling on Tuesday, highlighting expected rainfall patterns, temperature variations, and climate-related risks across the country, the Human and Environmental Development Agenda (HEDA Resource Centre) has called for stronger early warning systems and improved climate information dissemination to mitigate potential impacts.
The SCP, launched on February 10, 2026, in Abuja, provides forecasts intended to guide planning and decision-making in key sectors such as agriculture, disaster risk management, water resources, and public health. According to NiMet, the earliest onset of rainfall in 2026 is expected on February 23 in Bayelsa State, while central states are projected to experience the beginning of the rainy season between April 21 and May 15. Rainfall in most northern states is expected between June 18 and June 23.
The agency also projected varying cessation periods for rainfall, with the rainy season expected to end as early as October in parts of the far north and extend into November and December in central and coastal regions. While most parts of the country are forecast to experience normal annual rainfall, #NiMet warned that some states may record above-normal rainfall, while others may face below-normal conditions.
The forecast further warned of moderate to severe dry spells lasting up to 21 days in certain regions and predicted a severe and prolonged Little Dry Season, commonly known as the August break, in parts of the southwest, including Lagos and Ogun States. NiMet also projected warmer-than-average daytime and nighttime temperatures during parts of the year.
Reacting to the development, HEDA Resource Centre’s Executive Secretary, Sulaimon Arigbabu noted that seasonal climate forecasts remain most effective when supported by strong early warning systems, sustained public awareness, and clear preparedness frameworks.
He further stressed that climate risks such as flooding, prolonged dry spells, and extreme temperatures continue to underscore the urgency of translating climate information into practical action, particularly for vulnerable communities.
HEDA emphasized the need for increased investment in public communication, localized dissemination of climate information, and improved institutional coordination to ensure that forecasts are widely understood and effectively utilized.
According to the organisation, expanding digital advisory platforms and strengthening stakeholder engagement are essential steps toward enhancing national climate resilience.
